Today’s Best NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Friday 11/24: Plus-Money Overs

After stuffing our stomachs with turkeys and filling our need for Sports with the NFL Thanksgiving slate, we are back on the hardwood today for a loaded slate of NBA In-Season Tournament action. With groups on the line, there is a lot at stake tonight. These are my two favorite NBA player prop bets for Friday, November 24, and make sure you also read our NBA picks for each of tonight’s matchups.

Reggie Jackson (DEN) OVER 2.5 rebounds (+110)

Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 1u wager.

This is going to be a weird sweat but one that shouldn’t be a plus-money buy. Since Reggie Jackson has been made the Nuggets starting point guard in place of the injured Jamal Murray, he has cleared this line in four of his eight games. A closer look shows that two of the “unders” were in blowouts where Jackson sat the fourth quarter. Overall as a starter, Jackson averages 2.6 rebounds per 32 minutes, which I believe will be his floor in this high-stakes in-season tournament game where the Nuggets must win to stay in contention for the group.

The Rockets are also a solid matchup; they rank 13th in three-point attempts per game and therefore allow a lot of long rebounds, which is how Jackson enters the board column. His 9.4-foot rebound distance is a reason he picked up a season-high four rebounds on seven rebound chances in just 28 minutes when these teams last met a couple of weeks ago.

Mike Conley (MIN) 6+ assists (+110)

Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. Recommended 1u wager.

The Kings and Timberwolves will play in what could be the most fascinating game of the night as both teams are 2-0 in group play for the in-season tournament. It’s all about minutes for Mike Conley. On the season, he has averaged 5.6 assists on a team-leading 9.0 potential assists per 30 minutes and. Now, he faces a Sacramento Kings team that has allowed the tenth-most assists per game over their last seven games.

With a close spread and high stakes, barring foul trouble, Conley should be a shoo-in for 30 minutes as Minnesota’s floor general. He has logged 31 minutes in each of the Timberwolves’ first two in-season tournament games; given this, my projection for him tonight is 6.1 assists, making it great value to ask him to get six at plus-money.

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