Lakers vs Thunder Picks, Predictions & Odds Tonight - NBA
The Los Angeles Lakers got themselves back on track with a win over the Detroit Pistons Wednesday night.
Now, they’ll try to shake their struggles playing on consecutive days, as they visit the Oklahoma City Thunder as seven-point NBA odds road dogs.
OKC has had a day to stew, after dropping their last two against a pair of heavies in Philadelphia and Minnesota.
Check my free NBA picks and predictions for this battle of West playoff squads on Thursday, November 30.
Lakers vs Thunder odds
Lakers vs Thunder predictions
After getting trounced 138-94 by the Philadelphia 76ers, the Lakers responded in kind, doling out a 133-107 whipping on the Detroit Pistons, sending them to their 15th straight loss.
Their stop in OKC will mark L.A.’s fourth set of back-to-backs on the year, and the Lakers have struggled in the back end of that combo, going just 1-2, including two straight losses.
That includes a 125-110 blowout loss in SacTo as 1.5-point favorites, and 104-101 L to the Mavericks as 1-point underdogs.
About the only thing good about the results are that they’ve been a good team to bet against, going a league-worst 0-3-0 mark against the spread, tied with Utah for the worst mark, and one of five teams with yet to cover in that sample.
In fact, the Lakers are a dismal 1-4-0 ATS playing at a rest disadvantage.
This could be a problem against a Thunder team that ranks as the sixth-highest scoring team in the league at 118.1 points per game, and leads the NBA in 3-point shooting at a 40.3% clip. They’re also the third-youngest team in the association and play at the eight-fastest pace.
They should be surly after dropping a close 127-123 decision to the 76ers, before last game’s 106-103 L to the West-leading Timberwolves.
The Thunder are also undefeated on the year with a rest advantage, going 2-0-1 ATS, one of four teams yet to take an L in that scenario.
Until the Lakers prove they can succeed on zero days’ rest, let’s stick with a Thunder side that does not want to drop a third straight to a team with a winning record.
My best bet: Thunder -5.5 (-110 at DraftKings)
Lakers vs Thunder same-game parlay
Thunder -5.5
LeBron James Over 24.5 points
Over 232.5 points
You’d think LeBron James — as the NBA’s oldest player and still L.A.’s most important — would struggle in these back-to-back scenarios, but he’s been the team’s leading scorer in the last two losses.
LBJ put up 26 points, nine rebounds, and seven assists in the loss to the Mavs, shooting 47.4% from the field, including a 4-for-9 mark from distance, one of his better showings from 3-point range this season.
Against the Kings, James doled out a triple-double, with 28 points, 10 rebounds, and 12 assists, while shooting an impressive 9-for-15 from the floor.
James has had great success against the Thunder of late, averaging 30 points per game in the last five head-to-head meetings, and passing the 24.5 scoring line set for Wednesday in every one of those contests.
If you’re willing to take it up a level, feel free to take James on his 39.5 total on points-rebounds-assists, which he’s topped in four of his last five Thunder matchups.
For now, I’ll happily take the points and exit stage left, thanks.
Let’s wrap it up with the total, set at 229 points. The Over in Lakers’ games has gone 9-8-0, including three straight Overs.
Meanwhile, OKC has a 7-11-0 O/U record, but it’s crossed its total four times in the last six.
These teams have lit up the scoreboard in their head-to-heads in Oklahoma City. Five of the last six games between the Lakers and Thunder at Paycom Center have gone Over.
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Lakers vs Thunder spread and Over/Under analysis
The Lakers’ inconsistency has been … consistent. They’ve alternated spread wins and losses in each of their last 10, the latest a win, covering the 7.5-point line against the Pistons.
Meanwhile, the Thunder are a crisp 4-0-1 ATS as betting favorites at home. OKC is only one of seven teams in the NBA to boast a success rate in this scenario at 80% or higher.
If we’re talking totals, the line has been remarkably consistent at 227.5, and the only fluctuation we’ve seen across the books is the bump up of an extra half-point.
As an underdog, the Over has hit in four of seven L.A. starts. OKC has seen the Over hit in four of eight matchups when they’re the betting favorite.
Lakers vs Thunder betting trend to know
The Lakers have won five of their last six road games against the Thunder. Find more NBA betting trends for Lakers vs. Thunder.
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Lakers vs Thunder game info
| Location: | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK |
| Date: | Thursday, November 30, 2023 |
| Tip-off: | 8:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Spectrum SportsNet, Bally Sports Oklahoma |
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